District Health administration in Vizag opined that though Covid-19 positive cases have been sharply falling in the district since November but there is every possibility of a second wave pandemic between January 15 and March 15, 2021. In Vizag, the trajectory graph of the daily new cases first rose to a peak, then decreased, and is now stagnant.
Public health experts have said the pandemic may evolve given the chilling winter and a slew of festivals, low testing, and learn-to-live-with-the-virus attitude. Nevertheless, it complexly depends on public behavior. Speaking to Hello Vizag, Dr. P.V. Sudhakar, Officer, and Principal of Andhra Medical College said “If people follow the basic norms of wearing a mask, staying away from public places and regularly sanitizing their hands, we can keep the second wave at bay. But unfortunately, we observe that 75% of people in public places have stopped wearing masks, while around 15% wear it around their necks. Only 10% of people are wearing it correctly,” he said.
This month we witnessed an average of 10 to 20 cases per day coupled with a decline in the death rate. As of now, we have 250 active cases, with around 100 in hospitals and the rest in home isolation. Of the 100 in hospitals, around 70 are in KGH’s CSR block, said Dr. Sudhakar.
Going by the second wave of positive cases in other parts of the country especially in Delhi Haryana, Gujarat, and Madhya Pradesh, while the US and some European countries, the state export committee on Covid-19 of the health department has prepared an advisory on measures to foresee and contain the surge in infection numbers. As per the plan of action, all clinical facilities such as ICU beds and ventilators need to be ramped up by the first week of January to October 2020 levels. Apart from conducting 100 percent RT-PCR testing in an aggressive mode, a major thrust will be given to creating awareness on Covid-19 precautions and preventive measures like wearing masks, physical distancing, hand hygiene, and other Covid-appropriate behavior.
But even as the district administration may be better prepared and more aware, a steep surge in cases could overburden the health care infrastructure and thereby lead to higher fatality rates. This makes it all the way more important to take precautions such as wearing a face mask and maintaining social distancing norms.
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